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Red235
174554.5
129694.0
541792.3
Blue160
280560.4
336674.1
505739.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30917704006008001,000235160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.00.5
101.9101.4
Auto14.4
Teleop47.5
End32.1
red by 19.9
3366
#17
74.10.6
79.979.3
Auto8.0
Teleop37.5
End28.6
Second
5417
#14
92.30.5
89.088.5
Auto7.7
Teleop43.8
End40.8
red by 31.9
2805
#21
60.40.6
66.866.3
Auto4.4
Teleop28.9
End27.0
Third
1745
#22
54.50.5
66.666.1
Auto9.3
Teleop29.3
End15.9
red by 15.3
5057
#12
39.20.6
38.137.6
Auto8.0
Teleop30.2
End1.1