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Red445
1296123.2
5829100.4
258291.0
Blue447
598688.4
147795.7
637795.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39128002006008001,0001,200445447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#14
123.20.7
122.5123.2
Auto12.3
Teleop57.9
End53.0
red by 27.5
1477
#35
95.71.5
95.597.1
Auto8.6
Teleop42.6
End44.6
Second
100.40.7
99.7100.4
Auto12.4
Teleop48.8
End39.1
red by 5.2
95.21.5
95.697.2
Auto7.4
Teleop41.0
End46.8
Third
2582
#22
91.00.7
90.391.0
Auto10.2
Teleop33.5
End47.3
red by 2.6
5986
#34
88.41.5
86.387.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.0
End36.8