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Red330
288181.7
419293.3
3005112.3
Blue282
541485.2
5427110.1
333597.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003250100200400500600700330282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
112.30.4
112.1112.5
Auto13.6
Teleop42.1
End56.6
red by 2.2
110.10.8
110.9110.1
Auto14.7
Teleop49.9
End45.4
Second
93.30.4
93.193.5
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End45.6
blue by 4.1
3335
#25
97.40.8
98.397.4
Auto12.8
Teleop40.7
End44.0
Third
2881
#24
81.70.4
80.881.2
Auto8.0
Teleop40.1
End33.6
blue by 3.5
5414
#19
85.20.8
86.085.2
Auto8.0
Teleop38.4
End38.8