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Red255
288181.7
419293.3
3005112.3
Blue310
624106.5
456109.0
648871.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304304260280290300310255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
112.30.7
112.3111.6
Auto13.6
Teleop42.1
End56.6
red by 3.3
456
#13
109.00.5
108.1108.6
Auto12.9
Teleop43.0
End53.0
Second
93.30.7
93.392.6
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End45.6
blue by 13.2
624
#28
106.50.5
105.6106.1
Auto11.6
Teleop53.3
End41.6
Third
2881
#24
81.70.7
81.580.8
Auto8.0
Teleop40.1
End33.6
red by 10.4
6488
#23
71.20.5
70.370.8
Auto3.8
Teleop33.4
End34.0