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Red310
399987.9
419293.3
3005112.3
Blue305
624106.5
456109.0
648871.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309305150200250350400450310305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
112.30.3
111.6111.8
Auto13.6
Teleop42.1
End56.6
red by 3.3
456
#13
109.00.4
108.6109.0
Auto12.9
Teleop43.0
End53.0
Second
93.30.3
92.692.9
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End45.6
blue by 13.2
624
#28
106.50.4
106.1106.5
Auto11.6
Teleop53.3
End41.6
Third
3999
#16
87.90.3
88.088.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.2
End41.6
red by 16.7
6488
#23
71.20.4
70.871.2
Auto3.8
Teleop33.4
End34.0