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Red309
333597.4
5427110.1
541485.2
Blue290
5892112.8
596097.8
2848112.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093870100200500600700309290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.10.3
110.0110.4
Auto14.7
Teleop49.9
End45.4
blue by 2.7
5892
#20
112.81.0
115.0114.0
Auto11.4
Teleop46.1
End55.3
Second
3335
#25
97.40.3
98.098.3
Auto12.8
Teleop40.7
End44.0
blue by 14.7
2848
#15
112.11.0
114.7113.7
Auto10.0
Teleop50.6
End51.4
Third
5414
#19
85.20.3
85.585.8
Auto8.0
Teleop38.4
End38.8
blue by 12.6
97.81.0
100.099.1
Auto8.6
Teleop43.8
End45.4