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Red306
310396.7
5427110.1
541485.2
Blue330
5892112.8
596097.8
191274.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33630402004006008001,000306330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.10.3
110.4110.7
Auto14.7
Teleop49.9
End45.4
blue by 2.7
5892
#20
112.80.4
114.0114.4
Auto11.4
Teleop46.1
End55.3
Second
3103
#30
96.70.3
96.797.0
Auto9.0
Teleop41.6
End46.1
blue by 1.2
97.80.4
99.199.5
Auto8.6
Teleop43.8
End45.4
Third
5414
#19
85.20.3
85.886.1
Auto8.0
Teleop38.4
End38.8
red by 10.7
1912
#29
74.50.4
74.174.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9