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Red311
333597.4
5427110.1
541485.2
Blue255
5892112.8
596097.8
2848112.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113840200600800311255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.10.2
110.7110.9
Auto14.7
Teleop49.9
End45.4
blue by 2.7
5892
#20
112.81.6
114.4112.8
Auto11.4
Teleop46.1
End55.3
Second
3335
#25
97.40.2
98.398.6
Auto12.8
Teleop40.7
End44.0
blue by 14.7
2848
#15
112.11.6
113.7112.1
Auto10.0
Teleop50.6
End51.4
Third
5414
#19
85.20.2
86.186.3
Auto8.0
Teleop38.4
End38.8
blue by 12.6
97.81.6
99.597.8
Auto8.6
Teleop43.8
End45.4