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Red205
999956.6
399988.5
1296100.0
Blue278
2848110.8
4587107.3
632163.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603160100200400500600205278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.01.0
100.9100.0
Auto12.7
Teleop49.3
End37.9
blue by 10.8
110.80.2
111.0110.8
Auto12.7
Teleop57.5
End40.6
Second
88.51.0
89.488.5
Auto8.7
Teleop39.8
End40.0
blue by 18.8
107.30.2
107.5107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.3
End43.0
Third
9999
#22
56.61.0
57.556.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.6
End23.7
blue by 6.9
6321
#21
63.50.2
63.763.5
Auto6.3
Teleop30.7
End26.5