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Red95
383439.9
630637.5
335030.5
Blue195
384787.2
461056.3
572643.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113203030040050095195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3834
#19
39.92.7
40.838.1
Auto7.8
Teleop31.4
End0.7
blue by 47.3
3847
#17
87.22.4
86.083.6
Auto11.0
Teleop38.2
End38.0
Second
6306
#34
37.52.7
45.542.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End8.7
blue by 18.8
4610
#12
56.32.9
49.746.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.7
End31.9
Third
3350
#41
30.51.6
33.231.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.6
End4.2
blue by 13.3
5726
#36
43.84.0
45.041.0
Auto5.1
Teleop34.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed