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Red190
463980.1
598181.6
65342.0
Blue105
302937.2
666458.3
668441.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911420100300400500190105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5981
#16
81.60.8
74.874.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End38.3
red by 23.3
6664
#14
58.34.0
54.950.9
Auto14.4
Teleop29.0
End14.9
Second
4639
#24
80.10.7
65.064.4
Auto11.2
Teleop37.0
End31.8
red by 38.7
6684
#45
41.44.0
37.033.0
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End3.2
Third
653
#44
42.01.1
35.334.2
Auto4.2
Teleop26.8
End11.1
red by 4.8
3029
#38
37.24.0
49.545.4
Auto10.5
Teleop22.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed