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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Texas UIL State Championship
Red255
258279.8
624111.7
1255120.2
Blue445
246893.8
4063108.4
41891.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33630702004006008001,0001,200255445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#23
120.20.0
120.2→120.2
Auto14.3
Teleop48.3
End57.6
red by 11.8
4063
#6
108.40.0
108.4→108.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.5
End51.7
Second
624
#5
111.70.0
111.7→111.7
Auto14.7
Teleop56.4
End40.6
red by 17.8
2468
#18
93.80.0
93.8→93.8
Auto15.4
Teleop50.5
End27.9
Third
2582
#24
79.80.0
79.8→79.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End37.3
blue by 11.5
418
#21
91.30.0
91.3→91.3
Auto9.7
Teleop38.4
End43.2