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Semifinal 2-22017 Texas UIL State Championship
Red239
541795.0
148118.7
1477108.6
Blue255
3005112.4
541481.4
613385.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4372730100200400500600700239255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
118.70.0
118.7→118.7
Auto19.0
Teleop59.5
End40.2
red by 6.2
3005
#12
112.40.0
112.4→112.4
Auto13.0
Teleop46.8
End52.6
Second
1477
#20
108.60.0
108.6→108.6
Auto11.3
Teleop54.1
End43.2
red by 22.8
6133
#14
85.80.0
85.8→85.8
Auto11.5
Teleop38.6
End35.7
Third
5417
#13
95.00.0
95.0→95.0
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End37.6
red by 13.6
5414
#4
81.40.0
81.4→81.4
Auto8.5
Teleop40.9
End32.0