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Red205
623786.8
547289.1
543198.7
Blue260
181782.7
617167.6
399983.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042410100200400500600205260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#10
98.71.7
100.498.7
Auto17.6
Teleop54.0
End27.2
red by 15.3
3999
#30
83.50.4
84.484.8
Auto10.4
Teleop40.1
End32.9
Second
89.11.7
90.889.1
Auto9.0
Teleop44.4
End35.7
red by 6.4
1817
#29
82.70.4
83.784.1
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End33.9
Third
6237
#19
86.81.7
88.586.8
Auto7.3
Teleop35.1
End44.4
red by 19.3
67.60.4
68.568.9
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End25.1