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Red255
359382.1
586668.3
2333102.7
Blue305
6133105.1
70491.0
421946.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275248100200300400500255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#12
102.70.0
103.9103.9
Auto11.2
Teleop51.0
End40.5
blue by 2.4
105.11.5
104.1105.6
Auto13.1
Teleop39.7
End52.3
Second
3593
#21
82.10.0
83.383.3
Auto6.1
Teleop32.2
End43.9
blue by 8.8
704
#5
91.01.5
90.091.4
Auto13.5
Teleop41.8
End35.6
Third
5866
#11
68.30.0
69.569.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.4
End30.1
red by 21.9
4219
#17
46.41.5
44.445.9
Auto5.6
Teleop37.4
End3.4