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Red140
295091.4
337044.9
672763.7
Blue145
359382.1
421946.4
586668.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1751690100200300400140145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#18
91.42.1
73.671.5
Auto12.3
Teleop36.6
End42.5
red by 9.3
3593
#21
82.11.3
74.673.3
Auto6.1
Teleop32.2
End43.9
Second
6727
#20Sur
63.72.8
48.245.3
Auto7.2
Teleop29.1
End27.4
blue by 4.6
5866
#11Sur
68.31.1
52.451.3
Auto9.8
Teleop28.4
End30.1
Third
3370
#40
44.92.3
43.741.4
Auto5.1
Teleop27.9
End11.9
blue by 1.4
4219
#17
46.41.2
34.333.1
Auto5.6
Teleop37.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed