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Red214
2848117.4
543198.7
280552.2
Blue290
181782.7
6133105.1
547289.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25023104006008001,0001,200214290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#1Sur
117.42.2
108.8106.7
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End45.6
red by 12.3
105.15.1
68.673.7
Auto13.1
Teleop39.7
End52.3
Second
5431
#10
98.72.2
93.691.4
Auto17.6
Teleop54.0
End27.2
red by 9.6
89.14.2
74.578.7
Auto9.0
Teleop44.4
End35.7
Third
2805
#37
52.22.9
33.030.1
Auto4.8
Teleop24.7
End22.7
blue by 30.5
1817
#29Sur
82.74.2
79.283.4
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End33.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed