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Red230
441249.3
632143.2
1296110.4
Blue235
70491.0
2333102.7
588840.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2291770100300400500230235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.40.4
93.593.0
Auto12.4
Teleop47.8
End50.2
red by 7.7
2333
#12
102.73.7
83.186.7
Auto11.2
Teleop51.0
End40.5
Second
4412
#16
49.30.7
63.362.6
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End11.8
blue by 41.7
704
#5
91.04.5
70.875.3
Auto13.5
Teleop41.8
End35.6
Third
6321
#36
43.20.7
54.253.5
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End11.8
red by 3.1
5888
#31
40.13.7
21.124.8
Auto4.3
Teleop24.4
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed