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Red195
380290.5
644832.4
586668.3
Blue190
419277.5
672763.7
164241.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011560100300400500600195190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.51.2
87.486.2
Auto9.3
Teleop40.3
End40.9
red by 13.0
4192
#13
77.52.7
68.170.8
Auto5.8
Teleop38.9
End32.8
Second
5866
#11
68.31.0
54.453.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.4
End30.1
red by 4.6
6727
#20
63.74.0
43.647.5
Auto7.2
Teleop29.1
End27.4
Third
6448
#22
32.41.7
43.341.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.4
End7.2
blue by 8.9
1642
#28
41.22.4
42.544.9
Auto4.2
Teleop24.9
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed