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Red290
635754.6
2848117.4
3310122.4
Blue155
181782.7
617167.6
399983.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212390100200400500290155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.40.2
122.0121.8
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End56.8
red by 38.9
3999
#30
83.51.8
84.883.0
Auto10.4
Teleop40.1
End32.9
Second
117.40.2
117.0116.8
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End45.6
red by 34.7
1817
#29
82.71.8
84.182.2
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End33.9
Third
6357
#32
54.60.2
54.254.0
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End15.7
blue by 12.9
67.61.8
68.967.1
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End25.1