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Red284
635754.6
2848117.4
3310122.4
Blue257
541487.4
419277.5
295091.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192620100200400500600284257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.40.8
122.4121.6
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End56.8
red by 31.0
2950
#18
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto12.3
Teleop36.6
End42.5
Second
117.40.8
117.4116.6
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End45.6
red by 30.0
5414
#23
87.40.0
87.487.5
Auto7.0
Teleop43.2
End37.2
Third
6357
#32
54.60.8
54.653.9
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End15.7
blue by 22.8
4192
#13
77.50.0
77.577.5
Auto5.8
Teleop38.9
End32.8