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Red355
635754.6
2848117.4
3310122.4
Blue255
181782.7
617167.6
399983.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222330100200400500355255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.40.3
121.8122.1
Auto12.3
Teleop53.4
End56.8
red by 38.9
3999
#30
83.50.5
83.083.5
Auto10.4
Teleop40.1
End32.9
Second
117.40.3
116.8117.1
Auto16.0
Teleop55.7
End45.6
red by 34.7
1817
#29
82.70.5
82.282.7
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End33.9
Third
6357
#32
54.60.3
54.054.3
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End15.7
blue by 12.9
67.60.5
67.167.6
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End25.1