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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Lone Star North Regional
Red255
339063.1
44182.5
589298.9
Blue257
624105.6
541784.8
310379.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542930100200400500600700255257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#10
98.90.3
98.3→98.6
Auto10.7
Teleop49.1
End39.0
blue by 6.8
624
#11
105.60.3
106.1→105.8
Auto16.8
Teleop51.5
End37.4
Second
441
#5
82.50.3
81.9→82.2
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End43.4
blue by 2.3
5417
#6
84.80.3
85.3→84.9
Auto9.0
Teleop47.4
End28.4
Third
3390
#21
63.10.3
62.5→62.8
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
blue by 16.6
3103
#17
79.70.4
80.2→79.8
Auto5.3
Teleop34.7
End39.6