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Semifinal 2-22017 Lone Star North Regional
Red288
636349.3
1477106.5
2992121.4
Blue357
584299.5
3284112.3
654794.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903290100200400500600700288357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#4
121.40.3
121.7→121.4
Auto18.5
Teleop54.8
End48.0
red by 9.0
3284
#3
112.30.0
112.4→112.4
Auto15.3
Teleop48.6
End48.4
Second
1477
#2
106.50.3
106.8→106.5
Auto13.4
Teleop48.4
End44.7
red by 7.0
5842
#9
99.50.0
99.6→99.6
Auto16.9
Teleop45.0
End37.6
Third
6363
#26
49.30.3
49.6→49.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.0
End9.4
blue by 44.9
6547
#24
94.10.0
94.2→94.2
Auto12.5
Teleop43.2
End38.5