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Red454
429560.9
1477106.5
2992121.4
Blue205
373594.4
258782.5
582978.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122640100200400500600454205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.41.5
121.4122.9
Auto18.5
Teleop54.8
End48.0
red by 27.0
3735
#18
94.41.1
94.293.1
Auto11.0
Teleop41.4
End41.9
Second
106.51.5
106.6108.0
Auto13.4
Teleop48.4
End44.7
red by 24.0
82.51.1
82.481.3
Auto9.7
Teleop46.4
End26.5
Third
4295
#23
60.91.6
60.662.2
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End33.5
blue by 18.0
5829
#15
78.81.1
78.777.6
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End26.8