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Red211
429560.9
1477106.5
2992121.4
Blue255
373594.4
258782.5
582978.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319259100200400500211255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.41.8
122.9121.1
Auto18.5
Teleop54.8
End48.0
red by 27.0
3735
#18
94.40.1
93.193.2
Auto11.0
Teleop41.4
End41.9
Second
106.51.8
108.0106.2
Auto13.4
Teleop48.4
End44.7
red by 24.0
82.50.1
81.381.4
Auto9.7
Teleop46.4
End26.5
Third
4295
#23
60.92.0
62.260.1
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End33.5
blue by 18.0
5829
#15
78.80.1
77.677.7
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End26.8