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Red190
310379.7
636349.3
258782.5
Blue180
1477106.5
665551.3
526139.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691930100300400190180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.6
65.166.7
Auto9.7
Teleop46.4
End26.5
blue by 24.0
106.51.7
105.6103.9
Auto13.4
Teleop48.4
End44.7
Second
3103
#17
79.72.3
55.257.6
Auto5.3
Teleop34.7
End39.6
red by 28.3
6655
#20
51.32.0
41.839.7
Auto8.1
Teleop27.4
End15.9
Third
6363
#26Sur
49.32.3
43.545.9
Auto8.9
Teleop31.0
End9.4
red by 9.4
5261
#33
39.92.8
32.629.9
Auto6.5
Teleop27.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed