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Red383
148105.2
654794.1
589298.9
Blue185
606841.5
339063.1
541784.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521720100200300400500383185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#12
105.210.5
98.2108.7
Auto20.2
Teleop50.8
End34.2
red by 20.4
84.80.7
81.382.0
Auto9.0
Teleop47.4
End28.4
Second
5892
#10
98.910.5
70.380.8
Auto10.7
Teleop49.1
End39.0
red by 35.8
3390
#21
63.11.2
43.945.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.4
End18.5
Third
6547
#24
94.114.4
60.274.6
Auto12.5
Teleop43.2
End38.5
red by 52.6
6068
#30
41.50.9
49.250.1
Auto5.3
Teleop41.4
End-5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed