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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Utah Regional
Red306
458551.8
240377.6
84685.9
Blue165
299683.0
328876.7
248448.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122240100300400500600306165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#14
85.92.8
82.0→84.8
Auto11.6
Teleop32.8
End41.5
red by 2.9
2996
#29
83.01.4
84.1→82.8
Auto10.2
Teleop28.6
End44.2
Second
2403
#2
77.63.0
73.3→76.4
Auto8.2
Teleop39.6
End29.8
red by 0.9
3288
#7
76.71.3
77.8→76.5
Auto9.9
Teleop28.5
End38.3
Third
4585
#26
51.82.8
47.9→50.7
Auto4.7
Teleop21.9
End25.1
red by 3.4
2484
#16
48.31.3
49.4→48.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End25.3