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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Utah Regional
Red265
458551.8
240377.6
84685.9
Blue215
299683.0
328876.7
248448.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224218150200250300265215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#14
85.91.4
84.886.3
Auto11.6
Teleop32.8
End41.5
red by 2.9
2996
#29
83.00.2
82.883.0
Auto10.2
Teleop28.6
End44.2
Second
77.61.6
76.477.9
Auto8.2
Teleop39.6
End29.8
red by 0.9
76.70.2
76.576.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.5
End38.3
Third
4585
#26
51.81.4
50.752.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.9
End25.1
red by 3.4
2484
#16
48.30.2
48.148.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End25.3