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Red286
632634.5
83679.4
159879.9
Blue255
527960.2
450555.1
289054.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201165100300400286255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#14
79.92.7
77.279.9
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End45.8
red by 19.7
60.22.8
57.460.2
Auto8.8
Teleop22.2
End29.2
Second
836
#5
79.42.7
76.779.4
Auto2.1
Teleop32.7
End44.7
red by 24.3
55.12.5
52.655.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End14.3
Third
6326
#21
34.52.7
31.734.4
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End8.3
blue by 19.7
2890
#24
54.12.8
51.354.1
Auto6.7
Teleop27.3
End20.0