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Red155
393940.9
595075.4
126277.5
Blue196
335959.5
325860.8
108676.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200158050100250300350400155196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#15
77.50.8
74.273.4
Auto11.4
Teleop37.4
End28.7
red by 0.6
1086
#12
76.91.1
63.564.6
Auto7.0
Teleop28.5
End41.4
Second
75.40.8
71.871.0
Auto5.0
Teleop30.9
End39.5
red by 14.6
60.81.2
46.347.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.6
End29.9
Third
3939
#13
40.90.8
37.636.8
Auto6.9
Teleop25.9
End8.0
blue by 18.7
3359
#26
59.51.1
46.247.3
Auto4.0
Teleop27.1
End28.4