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Red306
393940.9
595075.4
126277.5
Blue271
335959.5
325860.8
108676.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196163050100250300350400306271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#15
77.53.4
73.476.8
Auto11.4
Teleop37.4
End28.7
red by 0.6
1086
#12
76.92.4
64.667.0
Auto7.0
Teleop28.5
End41.4
Second
75.43.7
71.074.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.9
End39.5
red by 14.6
60.82.6
47.450.0
Auto5.4
Teleop25.6
End29.9
Third
3939
#13
40.93.4
36.840.2
Auto6.9
Teleop25.9
End8.0
blue by 18.7
3359
#26
59.52.4
47.349.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.1
End28.4