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Red217
393940.9
595075.4
126277.5
Blue296
335959.5
325860.8
108676.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081700100300400500217296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#15
77.50.7
76.877.5
Auto11.4
Teleop37.4
End28.7
red by 0.6
1086
#12
76.92.2
67.069.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.5
End41.4
Second
75.40.8
74.775.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.9
End39.5
red by 14.6
60.82.4
50.052.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.6
End29.9
Third
3939
#13
40.90.7
40.240.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.9
End8.0
blue by 18.7
3359
#26
59.52.2
49.651.8
Auto4.0
Teleop27.1
End28.4