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Red165
307231.6
40159.1
162987.0
Blue166
210660.0
585461.1
61958.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193172050100150250300350165166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#10
87.00.4
87.887.4
Auto8.9
Teleop45.9
End32.2
red by 25.9
61.10.0
56.656.6
Auto8.5
Teleop34.1
End18.6
Second
401
#4
59.10.4
59.959.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.8
End26.9
blue by 0.9
2106
#16
60.00.0
55.855.8
Auto4.9
Teleop28.2
End26.9
Third
3072
#22
31.60.4
32.432.0
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End5.6
blue by 26.7
619
#30
58.30.0
53.853.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End26.3