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Red190
307231.6
40159.1
162987.0
Blue266
210660.0
585461.1
61958.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191172050100150250300350190266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#10
87.00.4
87.487.0
Auto8.9
Teleop45.9
End32.2
red by 25.9
61.13.0
56.659.5
Auto8.5
Teleop34.1
End18.6
Second
401
#4
59.10.4
59.559.1
Auto10.4
Teleop21.8
End26.9
blue by 0.9
2106
#16
60.02.7
55.858.5
Auto4.9
Teleop28.2
End26.9
Third
3072
#22
31.60.4
32.031.6
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End5.6
blue by 26.7
619
#30
58.33.0
53.856.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End26.3