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Red230
349456.6
54088.8
58769.1
Blue190
159879.9
83679.4
632634.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2272010100300400500600230190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#1
88.80.4
88.088.5
Auto5.7
Teleop43.4
End39.7
red by 8.9
1598
#14
79.90.1
80.079.9
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End45.8
Second
587
#3
69.10.5
68.368.7
Auto2.4
Teleop40.5
End26.1
blue by 10.4
836
#5
79.40.1
79.679.4
Auto2.1
Teleop32.7
End44.7
Third
3494
#18
56.60.5
55.856.3
Auto4.6
Teleop28.8
End23.2
red by 22.2
6326
#21
34.50.1
34.634.5
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End8.3