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Red180
349456.6
54088.8
58769.1
Blue145
167659.8
253468.2
159945.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201700100300400180145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#1
88.80.5
84.884.2
Auto5.7
Teleop43.4
End39.7
red by 20.6
2534
#11
68.20.7
66.265.5
Auto8.2
Teleop39.8
End20.1
Second
587
#3
69.10.6
64.764.1
Auto2.4
Teleop40.5
End26.1
red by 9.2
1676
#32
59.80.7
58.057.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End21.2
Third
3494
#18
56.60.6
52.251.6
Auto4.6
Teleop28.8
End23.2
red by 11.0
1599
#17
45.70.7
43.742.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End26.0