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Red256
527972.6
126299.6
1598100.7
Blue165
42276.9
572464.4
108682.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294232100200400500256165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.3
100.099.7
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
red by 17.9
1086
#22
82.91.4
84.382.9
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End40.5
Second
99.60.3
98.898.5
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
red by 22.6
422
#25
76.91.4
78.376.9
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End38.7
Third
5279
#26
72.60.3
71.871.5
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4
red by 8.2
64.41.4
65.864.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.4
End21.6