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Red235
527972.6
126299.6
1598100.7
Blue195
42276.9
572464.4
108682.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972350100200400500600235195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.8
100.8100.0
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
red by 17.9
1086
#22
82.90.8
85.184.3
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End40.5
Second
99.60.8
99.698.8
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
red by 22.6
422
#25
76.90.8
79.178.3
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End38.7
Third
5279
#26
72.60.8
72.671.8
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4
red by 8.2
64.40.8
66.665.8
Auto8.4
Teleop34.4
End21.6