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Red258
527972.6
126299.6
1598100.7
Blue206
159981.9
1731101.3
54083.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286284200250300350258206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.3
99.799.4
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
blue by 0.6
101.31.5
102.8101.3
Auto10.1
Teleop40.8
End50.5
Second
99.60.3
98.598.2
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
red by 15.8
540
#28
83.71.5
85.283.7
Auto11.7
Teleop42.2
End29.7
Third
5279
#26
72.60.3
71.571.2
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4
blue by 9.4
1599
#14
81.91.5
83.481.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.1
End46.2