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Red241
527972.6
126299.6
1598100.7
Blue306
159981.9
1731101.3
54083.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287283200250300350241306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.8
100.599.7
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
blue by 0.6
101.30.8
102.0102.8
Auto10.1
Teleop40.8
End50.5
Second
99.60.8
99.398.5
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
red by 15.8
540
#28
83.70.8
84.385.2
Auto11.7
Teleop42.2
End29.7
Third
5279
#26
72.60.8
72.371.5
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4
blue by 9.4
1599
#14
81.90.8
82.683.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.1
End46.2