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Red235
218655.0
558773.6
141863.0
Blue265
62070.1
445666.4
337353.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011830100300400235265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.61.0
72.573.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End39.8
red by 3.5
620
#14
70.12.2
65.167.3
Auto10.9
Teleop34.2
End25.0
Second
63.01.0
62.063.0
Auto7.3
Teleop37.4
End18.4
blue by 3.4
4456
#13
66.42.0
61.963.9
Auto7.0
Teleop32.4
End27.0
Third
2186
#32
55.01.0
54.055.0
Auto6.4
Teleop41.6
End7.0
red by 1.5
3373
#31
53.52.0
49.051.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.1
End18.8