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Red240
337353.5
445666.4
62070.1
Blue245
236386.2
62389.6
242157.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1812570100300400500600700240245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#14
70.11.3
67.368.6
Auto10.9
Teleop34.2
End25.0
blue by 19.5
623
#4
89.60.4
89.789.3
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End44.3
Second
4456
#13
66.41.2
63.965.0
Auto7.0
Teleop32.4
End27.0
blue by 19.8
86.20.4
86.385.9
Auto12.3
Teleop37.6
End36.4
Third
3373
#31
53.51.2
51.052.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.1
End18.8
blue by 3.8
2421
#36
57.30.5
57.457.0
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End23.8