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Red285
242157.3
62389.6
236386.2
Blue185
108069.8
633469.0
112337.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521720100200300400500600285185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#4
89.61.3
87.989.2
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End44.3
red by 19.8
1080
#11
69.80.2
69.169.4
Auto6.4
Teleop34.9
End28.5
Second
86.21.3
84.585.8
Auto12.3
Teleop37.6
End36.4
red by 17.2
69.00.2
68.368.5
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End25.0
Third
2421
#36
57.31.4
55.456.8
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End23.8
red by 20.1
1123
#16
37.30.2
36.636.8
Auto3.4
Teleop29.8
End4.0