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Red205
337353.5
445666.4
62070.1
Blue290
236386.2
62389.6
242157.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1902500100300400500600700800205290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#14
70.10.4
69.770.1
Auto10.9
Teleop34.2
End25.0
blue by 19.5
623
#4
89.60.1
88.288.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End44.3
Second
4456
#13
66.40.4
66.066.4
Auto7.0
Teleop32.4
End27.0
blue by 19.8
86.20.1
84.885.0
Auto12.3
Teleop37.6
End36.4
Third
3373
#31
53.50.4
53.153.5
Auto6.6
Teleop28.1
End18.8
blue by 3.8
2421
#36
57.30.2
55.855.9
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End23.8