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Red255
5950C49.0
325879.3
527988.2
Blue235
5950B49.0
141390.1
572464.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322130100300400500600700800255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto11.1
Teleop38.7
End38.4
blue by 1.9
90.10.0
90.190.1
Auto7.9
Teleop33.0
End49.3
Second
79.30.0
79.379.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.9
End37.8
red by 14.9
64.40.0
64.464.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.4
End21.6
Third
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End24.6
Level
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End24.6