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Red195
5950B49.0
141390.1
572464.4
Blue280
265597.0
595097.9
97780.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023050100400500600700800195280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.10.0
90.190.1
Auto7.9
Teleop33.0
End49.3
blue by 7.8
97.90.0
97.997.9
Auto8.0
Teleop40.7
End49.2
Second
64.40.0
64.464.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.4
End21.6
blue by 32.7
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
Third
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End24.6
blue by 31.4
977
#8
80.30.0
80.380.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End35.7