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Red150
265597.0
595097.9
97780.3
Blue100
5950C49.0
325879.3
527988.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022190100400500600700150100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.0
97.997.9
Auto8.0
Teleop40.7
End49.2
red by 9.7
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto11.1
Teleop38.7
End38.4
Second
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
red by 17.7
79.30.0
79.379.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.9
End37.8
Third
977
#8
80.30.0
80.380.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End35.7
red by 31.4
49.00.0
49.049.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End24.6