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Red255
202855.4
43593.8
40174.5
Blue185
62089.5
113777.2
595448.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241213100300400255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
93.80.7
94.294.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.7
End40.1
red by 4.3
620
#9
89.50.5
86.485.9
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End36.8
Second
401
#5
74.50.7
74.975.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.3
End31.6
blue by 2.7
77.20.5
74.173.6
Auto4.5
Teleop34.4
End38.3
Third
2028
#25
55.40.7
55.856.5
Auto6.7
Teleop28.7
End20.0
red by 6.8
5954
#20
48.60.5
45.545.0
Auto6.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4